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Two Parliaments, two changing games


By magus_melchior - Posted on 05 June 2009

And now for something completely (?) different. Gordon Brown and the Labour Party of Britain are looking at a major defeat in this year's Parliamentary elections, which is something akin to the Republicans' electoral defeat in Congress back in 2006. The differences were primarily in the topic of the scandal-- the Brits are steamed over taxpayer money being used to finance everything from moat clean-up to rented porn. I wish I could make that up, as that would be an awesome joke. Over on our side of the Atlantic, it was the continuing bloodshed in Iraq with no end in sight, as well as strong allegations of inhumane treatment of prisoners in Abu Ghraib and Guantanamo, not to mention domestic unwarranted wiretapping by the NSA, allegations which would later prove true according to photographic evidence or eyewitness testimony. Another big difference that I can see is that the GOP was and is still quite skillful at handling the debate over torture-- and the NSA scandal is now practically nonexistent. In contrast, Labour has been caught practically flat-footed, and it will be a miracle if even half of the current Labour MPs survive, from the looks of it.

For a very interesting third parallel, the electoral defeat of the Japanese Liberal Democratic Party in the House of Councillors in 2007 was fueled by outrage over the government's gross mishandling of social pension funds and records-- tens of thousands of accounts were "lost" due to poor bookkeeping and other reasons. Now, two years later, the LDP has shown practically no signs of political recovery or even contrition (given the behavior of the LDP leaders in the lower House of Representatives)-- the Democratic Party of Japan leader, Yukio Hatoyama, recently crushed Prime Minister Taro Aso in a debate where Aso (who demonstrated his similarity to George W. Bush or Sarah Palin in his tenure) could only offer up the lamest of rebuttals and attempts at character assassination. If enough Japanese voters are watching the government, the LDP is looking at a defeat not unlike the GOP defeat in 2008, as Aso cannot afford to stall against dissolving the House of Representatives and call for elections. Hatoyama will be relentless in his demands for new elections, IMO, because Japan has been hit especially hard by not only the global recession, but with an aging populace and a domestic agricultural crisis-- namely, the farmers are becoming older, and no one wants to do their jobs.

I should add that these are two of the US' strongest allies, so how the all-but-assured new British government will affect US-UK relations is a toss-up for now. As for the probable defeat of the ruling party across the Pacific, if the DPJ is victorious, then Japanese politics will probably veer leftward. They may push back against the Pentagon a bit concerning things like the Okinawan base and other expansions in Japanese soil and waters, and the US Navy may have to find an alternative to Japanese tankers fueling their vessels in the Indian Ocean. But I don't foresee any other source of tension in such a scenario.
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It's sad that we've reached a point where 'government service' is a dirty word... If we're the greatest country on earth, maybe we can have the greatest government.

Lewis Black

I must add that UK's elections surely won't happen until next year, in a feeble attempt by Brown to try to limit the bloodshed as much as possible, and his (won't come) salvation for the party.

Certainly interesting that the Tories sent over staffers last year to the US to study and engage with the Obama campaign's "Change" mantra and propaganda. This isn't new or anything, but the Cameron express will play itself as the UK Obama next year.

And it'll work.

As for Japan, I always heard the axum that its the rare democracy where the bureaucracy writes the rules and the legislature executes them, not the other way around as usually. No idea if thats true, but interesting none the less.

Thought Labour was being revolted against the increasing taxation and resulting spending.  Thus when the 'scandal' of what was reimbursed to Parliament broke - a huge furor ensued.

THe UK is almost the Bizarro US.

*shrug* I wasn't following the story until the reimbursing brouhaha erupted-- and I'm guessing many Brits weren't either.
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It's sad that we've reached a point where 'government service' is a dirty word... If we're the greatest country on earth, maybe we can have the greatest government.

Lewis Black

Actually there has been a furor brewing for the past couple of years because this issue.  We (as in the US) have been a bit preoccupied with our own issues to pay much attention.  As fiscal issues are a key interest of mine - I have been following this for awhile.

Grodon said he is not going anywhere.  He just reshuffled his cabinet.  Milliband and "what's his name" stayed.  That could buy him some time...

Cameron is waiting in wings like a vulture.....

 

 I will not throw the first punch but I wil certainly throw the last.....President Barack Obama.

It's unreal what's going on there.

Labour has been the government for so long now (starting with Tony Blair) that any crisis, scandal, event, policy... it all traces back to them.  And even if it doesn't in reality, it looks like it does.  An unpopular war in Iraq, complicity in torture (allegedly), economic downturn (Gordon Brown was chancellor, or Treasury secretary before becoming PM), to parliamentary scandals such as the bribery in the House of Lords to the personal expenses in the Commons.

Philosophically speaking, the Tories are more akin to the Republicans (roughly).  So whereas now the US and UK are doing very similar things to shake this recession, that will cease under a Conservative government.  Also, under the Tories the UK's ties with Europe will be weakened.  

But better them than the BNP, who is gaining in popularity there.

*shudders*

That's fascinating... the Brits really have a choice between different bowls of... horse manure. One is, shall we say, runny, and they have different levels of stench.

As for Japan, the LDP has held the government since the end of WW2, except for a brief time in the 90s.

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It's sad that we've reached a point where 'government service' is a dirty word... If we're the greatest country on earth, maybe we can have the greatest government.

Lewis Black

Just as America needs to find a new Ronald Reagan, the British desperately need a new Margaret Thatcher.

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