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Latest Polls - Gallup Obama 5 pts over McCain!


Hopefully the trend continues. The McCain campaign is really becoming a caricature. They are their own worst enemy. 

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RFO Outreach Coordinator

The enemy of "the best" is not "the worst." The enemy of "the best" is "good enough."

YEEESSSSS!!!!

BTW: didn't he look and sound good today at the presser?

Did McSame had one by any chance and i missed it?  yeah right!!!!

Yep, McCain had one. He's backed off on firing the Chairman of the SEC and wants the Chairman of the FEC to resign (another McCain mis-speak). I understand that would be Bob Dole. Poor Bob! ; >
Well, I was relieved.  I thought he meant the South Eastern Conference.....lol  

LOL!! 

If anyone should resign it should be the Mid Atlantic Conference! Just Awful! ;)

Yea, cause SEC rules!! 

LSU Tiger fan

Yeah, I'm with David.   

And it's baffling to me that a campaign could actually think they could get away with such a stockpile of misrepresentations (of Obama) and lies.   Sure, some lying will fly under ppl's radar, but Palin/McCain not only have compulsively lied, they've repeated those same lies even after those lies were debunked (the Bridge, earmarks ...  ).

They also hurt themselves by blaming the media for "distorting things".  I think they also shot themselves in the foot with that condescending statement to the press about Palin's unwillingess to meet w anyone unless they showed "deference" to her (the sexism card).  

Another set of blows to their camp were: the Charlie Gibson interview/s, the SNL skit that reflected her inept performance w him, that vid of her asking what a VP does.

What may be having real negative impact now, is her recent refusal to take part in the Troopergate investigation that she whole-heartedly agreed to earlier.  If the taser story is true and she feels she acted on some sort of judicial instinct, then there shouldn't be a lack of compliance IMO.  

And of course there's John's obvious economy gaffe: 

Here

 

Cheney/Random Vajayjay  2008

McCain/Palin Deathwatch, September 12 '08:  McCain presently has a (partially complimentary) 40% chance of winning the election.

The taser story involved her brother-in-law apparently trying to "train" his son and the training went bad, injuring the son in a minor way. He says the family even joked about it afterwards. Dumb? Yes. Very poor judgement? Yes. But abuse? Questionable. The way they put the story out, I pictured a horrid domestic violence episode where he was using the taser purposely to hurt his son.

I think everyone will come to the conclusion: this seems like such a nothing case (she can claim protecting her sister and even if guilty the public would understand) but this stalling/refusal to testify can only mean one thing-they have major things to hide. If they don't, it sure looks that way.

"But abuse? Questionable. "

It was abuse. A taser can cause heart attacks. 

But I think the reason she tried to get this guy fired was because he cheated on her sister. Meanwhile, she went out and had an affair with her husband's business partner. Typical elitist double standard.

Where does it say legitimately that she had an affair ?
Well, I'm going to guess the same place where it said John Edwards had an affair.

A taser can only be the catalyst to a heart attack if the person had heart problems prior. 

I don't believe that it serves any purpose to repeat rumors and unsubstantiated innuendo.  Supermarket rags are famous for printing such stuff with or without proof. (affairs, etc)  Unless we have something more substantial to go on, as in the case of Edwards, I don't think we, as RFOers, such be a part of spreading gossip about anyone.

Suzi, does that really mean that Elvis wasn't spotted at a Burger King in Minneapolis with Marylin Monroe last week?

Couldn't resist, and you are right. Until I see proof, this "story" ranks up there with the Alien Elvis baby.

______________________

RFO Outreach Coordinator

The enemy of "the best" is not "the worst." The enemy of "the best" is "good enough."

Wait a minute David....ELVIS???  Where????? ;-)

Haha!!  I knew that was coming :-)

Just FYI, Suzi is an Elvis fanatic!! 

LOL...yep, I'm of the Beatles generation, but EP has always been my heart throb. ;-)

Elvis was the man! (that's why the aliens took him to the mothership and placed a fake body in the coffin).

Seriously, though, I loved his music.

______________________

RFO Outreach Coordinator

The enemy of "the best" is not "the worst." The enemy of "the best" is "good enough."

I knew you were my bud for a reason, David. ;-)  I still love his music and play it often.  Now about that mothership..I wonder if I go out in the back yard when it's really dark, and make high pitched noises with flashing lights......Hmm, I have to work on this plan. ;-)

Even Suzi's grandkids know lots and lots of Elvis songs... how many three year olds do you know that can recognize Elvis??  LOL!

BTW, when you grow up listening to Elvis every day, you become a huge Elvis fan too!! We like to say that Mom rocked us to Love Me Tender rather than Rock A Bye Baby... :-)

I have a question...and maybe I'm not understanding something.  BUT... it seems to me that if you or I received a subpoena to testify in some sort of investigation or trial, we would have to, BY LAW, comply with it.  How in the world can Palin, her husband and her staff (or whoever else) just decide to NOT comply with the subpoenas???

See Karl Rove!

 

It is due to unjustified subpoenas because of a partisan investigation.  If you do not believe the investiogation is partisan; you are fooling yourself.  One more thing about all polls: with the way things are stacked against Mccain i.e. all the problems with the economy, the perceptions and some realities of the war in Iraq, the ties to Bush although unfounded; the attakcs by the media; the legitimate personality advantage held by Obama; a 5 point lead in one poll (Rasmussen poll from same day shows 1 point) would be concerning to me if I was an Obama supporter.  It shows a significant level of trepidation in voting for Obama that will not necessarily go away by the election.  When someone is not sure if they want to do something or not; in most cases they get less sure as the decision approaches not more!!

He should have a much bigger lead at this point.

Me, this investigation was started before Palin was selected as McIdiot's VP candidate... so the arguement of the investigation being "partisan" holds no weight with me. 

It just seems to me that if any ordinary Joe was issued a subpoena to participate in an investigation or trial and just "decided" for whatever reason not to show up for the investigaion/trial ... there would be a hefty price to pay. 

Yeah, me, it's partisan.  Everyone knows that the vote to start the investigation was split along party lines with the Democrats winning out, right?  (In case you're wondering:  In the unanimous vote to start the investigation, there were 8 Republicans and only 4 Democrats.)   

Thanks for posting that info Aileron!!!  ^5

I know the facts.  who ius heading it up now and who turned the heat up after she was picked.  It is partisan believe it or not.  I also missed the posts on here about hacking into her email.  I saw no condemnation of it; and it apparently found nothing and was done by the son of a Democratic operative.  You will never be able to reaonably make the point that Republicans are more devious and nasty than Democrats.  As far as the polls go; based on the climate right now Obama should be up by 15-18 points.  The fact that he is not would concern me; if I was an Obamacant supporter.  It sounds like some of you need the breathalyzer he wants to give those babies that have asthma.

Yes, me, you are right on everything, and we are wrong on everything.  Happy now?

I would have so much more respect for you if you made reasoned arguments.

Sheesh.

(And here is a side note... I am an independent.  I would be insulted to be accused of being either a Republican or a Democrat because I pride myself on learning the details of the stances of each election I vote in.  So don't waste your time accusing me of really being a Democrat or not really a Republican, because you would be right.  I hold no loyalties to any party.  My loyalties are to my children, and I vote as I best judge the issues that will improve the world for them.)

Gosh, me, politics are partisan?   Wow, what a revelation!   With that mind-boggling fact out of the way, isn't it quite partisan now with the lawyers up there trying to stop the continuation of the case, with the first dude refusing to honor a supoena, etc?  Partisanship is alive and well....which is one of the things Obama wants to overcome when elected. 

Palin is a sell out.  She is no longer her own person with her own thoughts and views on anything.  She has literally sold her soul.  The "reformer" arguement is laughable.  She is now John McCain's (and Karl Rove's) puppet on a string. 

Originally, PRE Mccain, Palin welcomed the investigation and suddenly now she is trying to either stall it, or stop it.  Either way is a disgrace. 

Apparently THE PEOPLE of Alaska... you know, the state she supposedly governs, are very upset with the way this investigation is being handled.  It has now, thanks to McCain and his staff, been turned into a circus side show.  This article, originally posted by Quackers on our site, is VERY enlightening.  Thanks Quackers!!!

Latest Update: Friday, September 19, 2008

Michigan: Obama 52%, McCain 43%

Ohio: Obama 47%, McCain 45%

Pennsylvania: Obama 49%, McCain 44%

Maine: Obama 50%, McCain 46%

Iowa: Obama 54%, McCain 43%

Obama/Biden 2008

A little straight talk on taxes from Neil Harl, 2821 Duff Ave., Ames, Iowa

Obama/Biden 2008

 

This is so Grrrreat!

Obama/Biden will win!  Pray for their Safety & Success.

YES! YES! YES!
I'm hoping to travel with some fellow supporters, maybe my whole family, to Cleveland, OH for Columbus day week-end and knock on as many doors as possible. I will put forward my many hats of support as a woman, mother,  Republican and Catholic/Christian as I speak to voters.  I feel like Obama has a real shot there and a win could be crucial. Hope his lead increases!

Cleveland, huh! My wife is from there, originally. She left when she was very young, but still has a sister who lives there.

 

You just reminded me I'm supposed to get on the phones to make calls.

Felicia

 

Izzy,

Just a note of  Thanks for what you are doing to ensure an Obama vote.

I wish we had the opportunity to travel, but the Kids are in school & work prevents us from doing so.

I plan to volunteer working the phones, had a meeting last Friday with Democrats - get the vote out for Obama.  

I wish I could do more. Cleveland is only a 3 hour drive. PA is pretty close too, so I hope to plan a road trip there, as well. My husband supports the cause so he will either watch the kids on a week-end or the whole family can come along. I did get an email about phone calls and should get involved on that end, too. I have never been involved in a campaign before but this election is too important!! Thanks for your support & everything you are doing (and everyone here-even just a positve word about Obama goes a long way!)

And just as a reminder to all....we can work phone banks via the Obama web site, email information from the campaign, etc.   There is lots we can do.  If you are on Obama's mailing list, you will get all sorts of information as to what we can all to to help.

And don't forget...donate!  Even if it's five bucks.  Every bit helps the cause tremendously, and makes you feel really invested in the cause.

Sorry-forgot to add the most important hat I will wear: my proud American hat!! I'll let everyone know that I ( along with many Republicans) will be putting country first this election.

nerd to nerd predictions are good!

 

Mathematical Model Predicts Obama Win by Ten Points

Emory political science professor Alan Abramowitz seems to have a mathematical election model that works. Abramowitz's system has correctly predicted the popular vote winner within two percentage points for every presidential election since 1988. This year, it's predicting an Obama win: 54.3 percent, versus McCain's 45.7 percent.

The model isn't perfect, of course, but it does factor in a wide range of variables such as GDP, a party's time in office, and recent polls. "While factors outside of the model, such as rising partisan polarization and resistance to an African American candidate by some white voters may result in a somewhat smaller popular vote margin for the Democratic nominee," Abramowitz writes, "the combination of an unpopular Republican incumbent in the White House, a weak economy, and a second-term election make a Democratic victory in November all but certain."

If you're skeptical of models, check out the Iowa Electronic Market's trading index for the presidential election. For decades, it's been a much better predictor of presidential wins than Gallup polls. As of today, the market's predicting a 54 percent win for the Democrats, versus 45 percent for the Republicans. it could be a coincidence that those numbers are so close to Abramowitz's, or it could be that investors are reacting to his model's predictions. A third option: it could be that Obama actually is going to win by ten points.

 

 

 

 

+6 and counting.

I can't wait to see the impact of McCain's latest economic plan : "less Government but more oversight and less regulation in order to fix a fundamentally sound economy in crisis".

 

I can't wait for the economic debate. 

Obama/Biden 2008

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