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Electoral Votes
This is the first time I heard that Obama is leaning ahead in the electoral votes. This is great news.
Monday, May 26, 2008
The Rasmussen Reports shows Democrats leading in states with 200 Electoral Votes while the GOP has the advantage in states with 189. When “leaners” are included, the Democrats enjoy a 260-240 Electoral College lead. Rasmussen Markets data gives Democrats a 62.2% chance of winning the White House in November (results are updated on a 24/7 basis by market participants).
SurveyUSA and Rasmussen have had the best track record the past few election cycles. In 2004, it was these pollsters who dominated the results.
May 28th
SurveyUSA Electoral Votes
Obama is now looking like the favorite in Virginia, based on a recent SurveyUSA poll that has him winning by seven points. Demographically, Virginia is a state that Obama should thrive in. There are a lot of educated people, a lot of higher income people, a lot of African Americans, and a lot of young. Now that we have a poll confirming that he is the favorite there, I'm switching the state and its 13 electoral votes from McCain to Obama.
The final electoral votes result is Obama 282, McCain 256
A total of 270 Electoral Votes are needed to win the White House.